Tagged: Odalis Perez

Analizing the 2nd Tier of Free Agent Starters

CC Sabathia, Derek Lowe, AJ Burnett, Ben Sheets, and Ryan Dempster have all been generating a lot of buzz this winter, but I also want to analize the second tier of starters; the players beyond the top 5. Oliver Perez, Jon Garland, Randy Johnson, Greg Maddux, Andy Pettitte, Braden Looper, Jamie Moyer, Randy Wolf, Odalis Perez, Paul Byrd, Freddy Garcia, and Tom Glavine represent this tier. Some of these players will take one year deals with their former team, while others will look to sign 3 or 4 year deals. Of the above mentioned names, it seems that Maddux will retire. Glavine, Moyer, Pettitte, and Odalis Perez seem destined to resign with their former teams. That would leave Oliver Perez, Garland, Johnson, Looper, Wolf, Garcia and Byrd as the players who could truly be available. Johnson seems like the best bargain of the bunch; he had the best stats and will take a one year deal. He could generate the same buzz that Curt Schilling did last year. Garcia, Looper, and Byrd are solid back-of-the-rotation options that could come in on 1 year deals. The latter two have a lot of experience, and could be attractive to bad teams looking for veteran guidance. The Pirates seem like a team that could fit in well. Garcia has a lot of upside and should be a hot commodity once bigger names fall. The Giants, Brewers, Astros, Tigers, Indians, and Braves could find themselves a match in this cheaper group. The only players that will atempt to get a multi-year deal out of this group are Oliver Perez, Garland, and Wolf. Scott Boras will try to get 4 years for Perez because he is a young player with great stuff that racked up 180 strike-outs last year. All of this despite his 4.22 ERA. Garland will be a much tougher sell. He was bad last year with an ERA of 4.90 and very few Ks. However, he is about as solid as it gets when it comes to eating innings. He’s gone at least 190 innings per year for 8 straight years. If you want a young innings eater that won’t get hurt and could give you league average production, you’ll look at Garland. Wolf was very solid last year. He had an ERA of 4.30 to go along with 162 strike-outs in 190 innings, his most since 2003. He is quite a gamble because of his health issues, however. I could see him netting a 2 year deal under the right circumstances, though. So teams may find many bargains in the second tier because only 3 players will most likely look for multi year deals.

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Starting Pitching Free Agent Market

The hitters market isn’t that good, but now we get to the best part, the pitching. I labled the starters with what kind of starter I think they are. 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, C5, (Which means competing for the 5th spot) and DL. (Which means they are returning from the DL, or an injury)

 

Free Agents

  • 1. CC Sabathia
  • 1. Ben Sheets
  • 1. John Lackey (9 million club option with a 0.5 million buyout)
  • 2. Ryan Dempster
  • 2. Mike Mussina
  • 2. Derek Lowe
  • 2. AJ Burnett (Can opt out)
  • 3. Oliver Perez
  • 3. Jon Garland
  • 3. Kyle Lohse
  • 3. Tim Wakefield (4 million club option)
  • 3. Greg Maddux
  • 3. Andy Pettitte
  • 3. Randy Johnson
  • 3. Brad Penny (8.75 million club option with a 2 million buy out)
  • 4. Jamie Moyer
  • 4. Braden Looper
  • 4. Odalis Perez
  • 4. Kenny Rogers
  • 4. Tom Glavine
  • 4. Randy Wolf
  • 5. Paul Byrd
  • 5. Jon Lieber
  • 5. Livan Hernandez
  • C5. Mark Hendrickson
  • C5. Brett Tomko
  • C5. Josh Fogg
  • C5. Kip Wells
  • C5. Tony Armas Jr.
  • DL. John Smoltz (12 million club option)
  • DL. Roger Clemens
  • DL. Freddy Garcia
  • DL. Curt Schilling
  • DL. Pedro Martinez
  • DL. Jason Jennings
  • DL. Mark Mulder (11 million club option with a 1.5 million buyout)
  • DL. Orlando Hernandez
  • DL. Mark Prior
  • DL. Esteban Loaiza
  • DL. Carl Pavano (13 million club option with a 1.95 million buyout)
  • DL. Mike Hampton
  • DL. Matt Clement
  • DL. Kris Benson

Teams in Need

  • Mets
  • Yankees
  • Dodgers (get 2)
  • Braves
  • Blue Jays
  • Astros (get 2)
  • Rangers
  • Brewers
  • Phillies
  • Red Sox (Only for a #1)
  • Tigers
  • Indians
  • Nationals
  • Padres
  • Rockies
  • D’Backs
  • Royals
  • Cardinals
  • Orioles
  • Pirates