MLB.com is reporting that the Marlins have traded Mike Jacobs to the Royals for Leo Nunez. I like this deal a lot for both teams. The Marlins will add speed, defense, and pitching to their team all in one move. That is what they said they wanted to build around, and they didn’t lie. They now can call up Chris Coghlan, move Dan Uggla to third base, and Jorge Cantu to first base. That would help the defense. Coghlan’s speed would give them more versatility on offense. Nunez is a big addition to the bullpen and could help replace Kevin Gregg should he be traded this winter. On top of all that, the Fish are able to cut salary, something they had to do. The Royals did well, also. Some would have argued that they should’ve given Kila Ka’aihue and Ryan Shealy a full shot before trading for Jacobs, but the latter can come in and fill a big void in their lineup. Bringing him in, as well as a possible free agent bat could give them a solid lineup next year. If certain guys do well in the starting rotation, the Kansas City Royals might become the Rays of 2009. Overall, I think this was a good way to start off the 2008-2009 offseason.
It is possible that the Brewers look to trade Prince Fielder in the offseason. Lets see what team they can get a good pitcher from.
Brewers (frontrunners) I think it’s more likely that they decide to trade JJ Hardy instead. There will be a bigger market for Hardy, they wouldn’t be losing as much offense, and the Brewers could get almost as good a pitcher for Hardy as they could get for Fielder. All in all, Fielder will likely be kept.
Giants (possible) Could a Matt Cain for Prince Fielder trade work? I don’t know if either team would do it. I think it has a slight edge toward the Brewers because Cain is so cheap and far better than any starter they could get for Hardy. The Giants could make that trade, but might not unless they add Sabathia. It might make more sense for them to keep Cain and then trade a different pitcher for a first baseman like Adam LaRoche or Mike Jacobs.
Royals (possible) They could offer Zack Greinke for Fielder. I don’t know if the Brewers would accept this one, because Greinke has one less year under contract than Cain. Maybe the Royals could add a player like Ron Mahay or David DeJesus to finish the deal. I think this scenerio is more likely. The Royals would like to add a big bat to their lineup, and could sign a starter like Oliver Perez or Jon Garland to replace Greinke.
Rays (possible) The Rays need a DH, and want to inject a big power bat into their lineup, but the player has to be under control for more than one year. So Prince Fielder would make more sense than Matt Holliday. The Rays could put together a package of prospects as good as if not better than most teams. If the Brewers demand a proven starter, they could part with Matt Garza. Yes, he has been great for them this year, but then they could keep both Edwin Jackson and Andy Sonnanstine. Plus, if Price steps up they won’t lose much from the rotation. I think this would be a move the Rays have to do. The Brewers would make the trade also, unless Jeremy Guthrie, Matt Cain, or maybe Zack Greinke is offered. If they can get him without surrendering Garza, they could offer Wade Davis, Edwin Jackson, and either Grant Balfour or JP Howell. The Brewers get a solid closer, a good prospect, and a solid back-of-the-rotation starter. Either one of these deals would be good for the Rays in my opinion.
Orioles (not likely) It’s not likely, but the Oriols could enter the Prince Fielder sweepstakes. They could offer a package centered around Jeremy Guthrie. He by himself could get him. I don’t know if they should offer him, though. The Brewers would jump on the deal. If the O’s don’t give up Guthrie, then they could try an offer of Brian Roberts, George Sherrill, and Melvin Mora plus cash. The Brewers would be filling three holes, yet they lose offensive firepower and don’t fix the rotation.
Angels (not likely) If they miss out on Mark Teixera, I could definatly see it. They could center a deal around Nick Adenhart, or even Jered Weaver. If they add Brandon Wood to the trade, it might be enough. I think I would do a Jered Weaver plus Brandon Wood for Prince awap. It makes sense for both sides. Sean Rodriguez could also be added to finish off the trade. Chone Figgins could be part of the deal, too, and play center field in Milwaukee.
Yankees (not likely) They would love to add a young power bat like Prince, but they might not have the pieces to do it. Maybe if they offered Phil Hughes and Austin Jackson something could be worked out. Like with Jake Peavy, it would be smarter just to spend the extra money and sign Mark Teixera. When you have a 200 million payroll, you can’t be cheap.
A’s (dark horse) The A’s have all the pitching in the world to spare. They are in need of a first base/DH type, and most of all they need power. How about a package of Huston Street, Brett Anderson or Gio Gonzalez, and Justin Duchscherer. The Brewers add a good starter, a good pitching prospect, and a good closer. I like this deal a lot for both teams, but I’m not sure the A’s would want to trade away a young gun like Anderson or Gio. Plus, they would miss Doosh, especially if they are trying to compete next year which a Fielder trade would suggest.
This is a post where you can click on any tag you want to. It will be a side-bar link.
I am going to make a trade market post, where I put down all the meaningful players on the trade block. I will put this in order of how good the players are the same way I did it in the Free Agent Market series. There will be a link on the players I have done in my player market series. Any player already traded will be underlined. This will be a sidebar link.
- Bengie Molina
- Jarrod Saltalamacchia
- Gerald Laird
- Kelly Shoppach (If the Indians keep Victor Martinez at catcher)
- Ramon Hernandez
- Prince Fielder
- Ryan Howard
- Mike Jacobs
- Garret Atkins
- Dan Uggla
- Brian Roberts
- Kelly Johnson (Only if Braves rebuild)
- JJ Hardy
- Jack Wilson
- Matt Holliday
- Rick Ankiel
- Randy Winn
- Josh Willingham
- Juan Pierre
- David DeJesus
- Rick Ankiel
- Randy Winn
- Juan Pierre
- Brian Giles (Only if the club option gets picked up)
- Rick Ankiel
- Randy Winn
- Roy Halladay (Only in the Blue Jays decide to rebuild)
- Jake Peavy (Only if blown away)
- Zack Greinke (Only if blown away)
- Matt Cain (Only if blown away)
- Nick Blackburn (Only for a good, young hitter)
- Edwin Jackson (Only him or Sonnanstine)
- Jonathan Sanchez (Only for a good, young, hitter)
- Andy Sonnanstine (Only him or Jackson)
- Scott Olsen
- Huston Street
- George Sherrill
- Ron Mahay
- Kevin Gregg
- BJ Ryan
You can see there are not many so far. I will update this as I think of more.
The Milwaukee Brewers are probably not going to be as good in 2009 as they were in 2008. Their top two starters: CC Sabathia and Ben Sheets are both free agents. They have a few holes. They need one arm in the rotation, and one or two in the bullpen, as well as a center fielder. They have a good trade chip in JJ Hardy and could possibly entertain trading Prince Fielder. They need to open up spots for top prospects Alcidies Escobar and Mat Gamel. Hardy is more likely to be dealt because his bat would be easier to replace than Fielder’s. Plus, a lot of other good first baseman could be on the market with Mike Jacobs and Ryan Howard in trades and Mark Teixera and Jason Giambi on the free agent market. There should be a huge market for Hardy, with only two above average shortstops avalable via free agency. I have previously said that JJ Hardy for Nick Blackburn would make sense, and I still believe that. Another possibility is Hardy to the Oriols for George Sherrill and Daniel Cabrera. Or to the Blue Jays for maybe Shaun Marcum or Dustin McGowen. The Brewers could always add a piece to make it work. To the Royals for David DeJesus or Ran Mahay and a piece. To the A’s for one of their several pitching prospects. Or maybe for Huston Street instead. To the Giants for Jonathan Sanchez. Or the Dodgers for Scott Elbert or Justin McGownen and a bullpen piece. There are many options. They should pick up the option on Mike Cameron. 10 million is a lot for him, but they have a lot of money to burn and could afford him. I think they’ll spend a lot of money on their bullpen as well. Although, they did that last year and it didn’t work. They could look into resigning Sheets, but Sabathia has no chance of coming back. If they resign Sheets they could be just as good as they were last year, with Yovani Gallardo coming back from injury. The Brewers can still be a very good team in ’09, probably just not as good as they were in ’08.
Next up is the Philadelphia Phillies. This team is good team without many needs. The only need they have are left field/right field, starting pitching, and a reliever. They are losing a big slugger in their lineup in Pat Burrell, and will try hard to resign him. They Phils don’t have a lot of money to spend, however. Only about 8 million. If they backload Burrel’s deal they could get it done, but that would leave nothing for pitching. They could possibly trade Ryan Howard, who could earn 14 million in arbitration next year. They could trade Howard and shave that 14 million off the payroll so they can resign Burrell and have enough to sign a reliever and a first baseman. Maybe trade Howard to the Yankees for Phil Hughes and Ian Kennedy, then resign Burrell to a 4 year, 60 million contract. Hughes solves the pitching, and they can trade Ian Kennedy to the Florida Marlins for Mike Jacobs. I know it’s a inter-divsion trade, but it could work. They can then resign Chad Durbin with their remaining money. This is unlikely, but it makes sense, doesn’t it? If they don’t do that, they’ll probably let Burrell walk, resign Jamie Moyer, and sign a Raul Ibanez, Jaun Rivera, Garret Anderson type left fielder. They also could sign a reliever, but it might not be Chad Durbin. So, the Phillies are going to have to get creative this offseason since they don’t have much money.
I am making a new series here on All Baseball All the Time. It is called the offseason plan series. I will go through all thirty teams and put on my GM hat. Today I will start with the Florida Marlins.
The penny pinching Marlins could be set for another fire sale this offseason. You may wonder why, as they are an above five hundred team and possibly could get better. Their owners do not like spending money, however. There projected payroll with many arbitration eligible players is about 58 million. I’m sure they would like to lower that to at least 50 million, probably less. And they still need a catcher. They could also use a cheap left reliever to replace Arthur Rhodes in the offseason. This is a list predicting the amount players will earn in arb. I think Scott Olsen should be moved to open up a spot for Andrew Miller. Mike Jacobs should also be traded. The Marlins have to many low average high power type players. They can spare him becasue the Marlins have a good second base prospect in Chris Coghlan. They can move Jorge Cantu to first base, and Dan Uggla to third base. That would improve the defense at third, first, and second base. Also, they get some speed in the lineup from Coghlan. Also, if the above list is correct, they shave 5 million off their payroll. They need to move an outfielder to open up a spot for Cameron Maybin. The least talented is Cody Ross, so I say move him. That’s another 1.5 million, only 1.5 left untill they are at 50. Since it is such a small number, they could just move fringe guys like Alfredo Amezaga and Sergio Mitre, whom are easily replacable. For the return in trades, I think they could get Gerald Laird from the Rangers. Maybe the Marlins throw in an extra prospect or 2 to get the Rangers to eat all of Laird’s contract. Jacobs could go to a team like the Angels if they fail to resign Teixera. The Marlins would likely ask for a prospect in return. Ross, Amezaga, and Mitre could be dealt for mid-to-low-level prospects. This is my offseason plan for the Florida Marlins.